Bernie Sanders
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 1,329 word markets on Bernie Sanders’ appearances since 2025, on 228 different words; most reliably said: “Healthcare” (16 of 16). Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 (20 words listed).
Next: Rally ·
20 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi| Word | Oct 3rally | Oct 4rally | Oct 5rally | Oct 17rally | Oct 17rally | Oct 18rally | Oct 18rally | Oct 19rally | Oct 19rally | Oct 20latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Oct 20 rally | 5/5100% | 11/1292% | 83%n=12 from settlement history | 83¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 20 rally | 7/888% | 28/3482% | 80%n=33 from settlement history | 92¢ Kalshi |
| Billionaire5+ times | Not listed: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Billionaire (5+ times), Oct 20 rally | 6/786% | 8/989% | 73%n=9 from settlement history | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Housing / Rent | Not listed: Housing / Rent, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Housing / Rent, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Housing / Rent, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Housing / Rent, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Housing / Rent, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Housing / Rent, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Housing / Rent, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Housing / Rent, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Housing / Rent, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Housing / Rent, Oct 20 rally | 4/580% | 4/580% | 68%n=5 from settlement history | 85¢ Kalshi |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 20 rally | 6/967% | 28/4365% | 65%n=42 from settlement history | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Climate | Settled no: Climate, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Climate, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Climate, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Climate, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Climate, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Climate, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Climate, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Climate, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Climate, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Climate, Oct 20 rally | 5/956% | 20/3459% | 61%n=34 from settlement history | 73¢ Kalshi |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 20 rally | 8/989% | 19/3554% | 60%n=35 from settlement history | 73¢ Kalshi |
| Israel / Netanyahu | Settled no: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Israel / Netanyahu, Oct 20 rally | 5/956% | 11/1669% | 60%n=16 from settlement history | 65¢ Kalshi |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Settled no: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Oct 20 rally | 4/944% | 27/3969% | 57%n=39 from settlement history | 59¢ Kalshi |
| Trump5+ times | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Trump (5+ times), Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Trump (5+ times), Oct 20 rally | 7/978% | 8/1457% | 57%n=14 from settlement history | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Midterm | Settled yes: Midterm, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Midterm, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Midterm, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Midterm, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Midterm, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Midterm, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Midterm, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Midterm, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Midterm, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Midterm, Oct 20 rally | 4/757% | 4/850% | 53%n=8 from settlement history | 76¢ Kalshi |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 20 rally | 1/714% | 17/2568% | 49%n=25 from settlement history | 14¢ Kalshi |
| China / Chinese | Settled no: China / Chinese, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: China / Chinese, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: China / Chinese, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: China / Chinese, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Oct 20 rally | 3/743% | 4/1040% | 44%n=10 from settlement history | 31¢ Kalshi |
| Social Security | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Social Security, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Social Security, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Social Security, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Social Security, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Social Security, Oct 20 rally | 3/933% | 11/2741% | 39%n=27 from settlement history | 54¢ Kalshi |
| Socialist / Socialism | Settled yes: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Socialist / Socialism, Oct 20 rally | 2/922% | 14/3540% | 35%n=35 from settlement history | 20¢ Kalshi |
| Data Center | Settled no: Data Center, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Data Center, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Data Center, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Data Center, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Data Center, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Data Center, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Data Center, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Data Center, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Data Center, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Data Center, Oct 20 rally | 3/838% | 6/2722% | 30%n=27 from settlement history | 61¢ Kalshi |
| Student Loan / Student Debt | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Student Loan / Student Debt, Oct 20 rally | 0/30% | 0/30% | 28%n=3 from settlement history | 18¢ Kalshi |
| Trillionaire | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Trillionaire, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trillionaire, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Trillionaire, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Trillionaire, Oct 20 rally | 2/922% | 3/1916% | 27%n=19 from settlement history | 42¢ Kalshi |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Oct 20 rally | 1/911% | 3/2412% | 19%n=24 from settlement history | 22¢ Kalshi |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: ChatGPT / OpenAI, Oct 20 rally | 0/90% | 1/254% | 10%n=25 from settlement history | 6¢ Kalshi |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 15:23 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 240, most settled first · page 1 of 3| Word | Oct 3rally | Oct 4rally | Oct 5rally | Oct 17rally | Oct 17rally | Oct 18rally | Oct 18rally | Oct 19rally | Oct 19rally | Oct 20latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie | Settled no: Bernie, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Bernie, Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Bernie, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Bernie, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Bernie, Oct 20 rally | 6/967% | 18/3946% | 52%n=39 from settlement history |
| Elon / Musk | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, Oct 20 rally | 9/9100% | 34/3889% | 87%n=37 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 20 rally | – | 18/2475% | 74%n=24 from settlement history |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: ICE, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/2124% | 28%n=21 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Settled no: Epstein, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Epstein, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Epstein, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 20 rally | 0/30% | 1/205% | 16%n=20 from settlement history |
| Billionaire3+ times | Settled yes: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Billionaire (3+ times), Oct 20 rally | 2/2100% | 17/1989% | 82%n=19 from settlement history |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Paycheck to Paycheck, Oct 20 rally | – | 15/1883% | 78%n=17 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Trump, Oct 20 rally | – | 14/1782% | 74%n=16 from settlement history |
| Healthcareevery time | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 20 rally | – | 16/16100% | 84%n=15 from settlement history |
| Working Class | Not listed: Working Class, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Working Class, Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Working Class, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Working Class, Oct 20 rally | 7/7100% | 13/1681% | 79%n=16 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Election, Oct 20 rally | – | 12/1580% | 75%n=15 from settlement history |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Republican, Oct 20 rally | – | 8/1457% | 57%n=13 from settlement history |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 20 rally | – | 11/1385% | 73%n=13 from settlement history |
| Billionaire | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Billionaire, Oct 20 rally | – | 11/1292% | 72%n=11 from settlement history |
| Israel / Israeli | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 20 rally | – | 7/1258% | 51%n=12 from settlement history |
| Zillion / Zillionaire | Settled yes: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 5 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 17 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 18 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 19 rally | Settled no: Zillion / Zillionaire, Oct 20 rally | 2/825% | 5/1242% | 39%n=12 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 20 rally | – | 3/1225% | 46%n=12 from settlement history |
| Bezos | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Bezos, Oct 20 rally | – | 8/1173% | 67%n=11 from settlement history |
| Netanyahu | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Netanyahu, Oct 20 rally | – | 7/1164% | 49%n=11 from settlement history |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Iran, Oct 20 rally | – | 4/1136% | 50%n=11 from settlement history |
| Tuition | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Tuition, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/1050% | 41%n=10 from settlement history |
| Tax Breakevery time | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 4 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 5 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 17 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 18 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Tax Break, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 19 rally | Settled yes: Tax Break, Oct 20 rally | 9/9100% | 9/9100% | 85%n=9 from settlement history |
| Authoritarian / Authoritarianism | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Authoritarian / Authoritarianism, Oct 20 rally | – | 8/989% | 72%n=9 from settlement history |
| Middle Class | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Middle Class, Oct 20 rally | – | 4/944% | 44%n=9 from settlement history |
| Bipartisan | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Bipartisan, Oct 20 rally | – | 1/911% | 24%n=9 from settlement history |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsementnever said | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 20 rally | – | 0/90% | 18%n=9 from settlement history |
| Tariffnever said | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Tariff, Oct 20 rally | – | 0/90% | 20%n=9 from settlement history |
| Vermont / Vermonter | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Vermont / Vermonter, Oct 20 rally | – | 7/888% | 71%n=8 from settlement history |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Revolution / Revolutionary, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/862% | 57%n=8 from settlement history |
| ICE / National Guard | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/771% | 62%n=6 from settlement history |
| Nuclear | Settled no: Nuclear, Oct 3 rally | Settled no: Nuclear, Oct 4 rally | Settled no: Nuclear, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Nuclear, Oct 20 rally | 0/30% | 1/714% | 26%n=7 from settlement history |
| Revolution | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Revolution, Oct 20 rally | – | 1/714% | 30%n=7 from settlement history |
| Democracyevery time | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Democracy, Oct 20 rally | – | 6/6100% | 76%n=6 from settlement history |
| Working Class / Middle Classevery time | Settled yes: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 3 rally | Settled yes: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Working Class / Middle Class, Oct 20 rally | 2/2100% | 6/6100% | 78%n=6 from settlement history |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/683% | 70%n=5 from settlement history |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Biden, Oct 20 rally | – | 1/617% | 32%n=6 from settlement history |
| Corruption | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Corruption, Oct 20 rally | – | 1/617% | 38%n=6 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Downnever said | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 20 rally | – | 0/60% | 23%n=6 from settlement history |
| Medicare / Medicaidevery time | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/5100% | 70%n=5 from settlement history |
| One Percentevery time | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 3 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 4 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 5 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 17 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 18 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 19 rally | Not listed: One Percent, Oct 20 rally | – | 5/5100% | 65%n=5 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 3 of 3 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? | no transcript | 21 | Open | – |
| Oct 20, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? | no transcript | 27 | 12 yes · 15 no | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? | no transcript | 25 | 1 yes · 24 no | – |
| Oct 19, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? | no transcript | 25 | 13 yes · 12 no | – |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? | no transcript | 27 | 17 yes · 10 no | – |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? | no transcript | 27 | 13 yes · 14 no | – |
| Oct 17, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? | no transcript | 26 | 15 yes · 11 no | – |
| Oct 17, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? | no transcript | 27 | 15 yes · 12 no | – |
| Oct 5, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? | no transcript | 22 | 7 yes · 15 no | – |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? | no transcript | 23 | 11 yes · 12 no | – |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? | no transcript | 24 | 10 yes · 14 no | – |
| Aug 29, 2026 | RallyWhat will Bernie say during his rally? | no transcript | 20 | 9 yes · 11 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/bernie-sanders · words: /api/v1/history?entity=bernie-sanders · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP