Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Dec 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during his virtual town hall?
Markets
18 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | 69%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| One Percent | Yes | 63%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Human Right | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Emergency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insulin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | No | 62%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Autism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obamacare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ozempic / GLP-1 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| RFK / Bobby / Kennedy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transgender | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-25DEC03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP