Bernie Sanders: Panel, Jun 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his conversation with Robert Costa?
Markets
19 words · 14 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 78%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 77%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 74%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | 74%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 70%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 65%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | Yes | 64%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 60%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 58%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 55%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 50%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 48%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 46%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 30%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | No | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26JUN08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP