Bernie Sanders: Interview, Apr 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during his conversation on AI?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 71%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 66%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Dario / Anthropic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | No | 67%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Bezos | No | 62%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 59%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 56%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 55%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Water | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Department of Defense / Department of War | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Subsidy / Subsidize | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 30%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 23%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26APR29B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP