Bernie Sanders: Rally, Feb 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during his Los Angeles rally?
Markets
28 words · 16 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | 66%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 63%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 56%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | Yes | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Authoritarian / Authoritarianism | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| One Percent / One Percenter | Yes | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Greed / Greedy | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | No | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Palantir | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peter Thiel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle Class | No | 32%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Race / Racism / Racist | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 25%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution | No | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 18%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 16%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26FEB19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP