Bernie Sanders: Rally, Aug 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his rally?
Markets
19 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 78%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 72%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 70%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 66%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 62%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Zillion / Zillionaire | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | Yes | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | Yes | 40%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class | Yes | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 76%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 50%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 42%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 39%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution | No | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 30%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 29%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trillionaire | No | 22%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 22%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 20%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26AUG29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP