Bernie Sanders: Interview, Feb 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his MSNBC interview
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire | Yes | 71%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 63%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 57%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| California | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26FEB11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP