Bernie Sanders: Interview, Oct 16, 2025
Kalshi What will Bernie say during the CNN Town Hall?
Markets
26 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Worker | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tuition | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bipartisan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hostage | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oligarch | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | Yes | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Authoritarian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chicago | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chuck / Schumer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Continuing Resolution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dictator | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Free Speech | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manufacturing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Portland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-25OCT16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP