Bernie Sanders: Rally, Mar 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during his No Kings Rally?
Polymarket What will Bernie Sanders say during No Kings rally on March 28?
Markets
46 words · 28 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | Yes | 71%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | 67%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Netanyahu | Yes | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class / Working Class | Yes | 58%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 57%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 57%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 56%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unconstitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bezos | Yes | 53%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare / Daycare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Renee / Pretti | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax Cut / Tax Break | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 42%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | Yes | 39%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 32%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| One Percent / One Percenter 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Corruption | Yes | 23%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 15+ times | No | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| TSA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bipartisan | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Claude | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Existence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE 4+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Strait / Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Industry | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mainstream | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Palestine | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Revolution | No | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck 2+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26MAR28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP