Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Aug 22, 2025
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during the Fighting Oligarchy Tour?
Markets
36 words · 20 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Greed | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Veteran | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Worker | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bottom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Citizens United | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grassroot | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Human Right | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Living Wage | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Media | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle Class | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Percent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Percent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tuition | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bezos | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Campaign Finance Reform | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elite | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fight | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fossil Fuel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Industry | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mainstream | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rigged | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transform | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DOGE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alexandria | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-25AUG22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP