Bernie Sanders: Speech, Aug 8, 2025
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during the speech during his Fighting Oligarchy tour?
Polymarket What will Bernie Sanders say during his 'Fighting Oligarchy' speech on August 8?
Markets
27 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greed | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Housing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicaid | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Medicaid / Medicare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netanyahu | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump x10 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Veteran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Worker | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alexandria | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Autopen | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bezos | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire x7 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DOGE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oligarchy 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oligarchy x5 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-25AUG08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP