Bernie Sanders: Speech, Jan 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during Mamdani's inauguration?
Markets
17 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| One Percent | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 66%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AOC / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 36%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Authoritarian | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| National Guard | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26JAN02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP