Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Jan 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during his Fighting Oligarchy tour in NJ?
Markets
18 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| One Percent / One Percenter | Yes | 71%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 71%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 68%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 62%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | 59%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Authoritarian / Authoritarianism | Yes | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 26%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26JAN20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP