Bernie Sanders: Press conference, Mar 25, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his AI Press Conference?
Markets
19 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 61%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 60%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 56%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bezos | Yes | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Water | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | Yes | 43%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Department of Defense / Department of War | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear / Nuke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subsidy / Subsidize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dario / Anthropic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | 32%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 27%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26MAR25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP