Bernie Sanders: Rally, Oct 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles?
Markets
21 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 81%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Tax Break | Yes | 69%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 5+ times | Yes | 62%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | Yes | 59%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 48%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | Yes | 34%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 77%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 66%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Netanyahu | No | 66%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 62%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 62%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Zillion / Zillionaire | No | 58%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 47%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | No | 38%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 32%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 30%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 20%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Trillionaire | No | 19%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 17%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 14%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26OCT05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP