Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Mar 5, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his AI Data Center Organizing Call?
Markets
21 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon / Musk | Yes | 70%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | 68%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 65%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Bezos | Yes | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class | Yes | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Facebook / Meta | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Revolution / Revolutionary | Yes | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Paycheck to Paycheck | No | 72%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 71%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 65%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic / ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GDP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taxpayer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 43%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 31%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26MAR05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP