Bernie Sanders: Rally, Feb 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say at his Greensboro rally?
Polymarket What will Bernie Sanders say in North Carolina on February 13?
Markets
36 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | 65%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Greed | Yes | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Minneapolis | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Elon / Musk 4+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 15+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Robotic / Robotics | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare / Health care 8+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | 23%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 72%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Affordability | No | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | No | 62%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 61%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Greed / Greedy | No | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Working Class | No | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Authoritarian / Authoritarianism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| One Percent / One Percenter | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Middle Class | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Obama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Percent / One Percenter 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Percent 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Security | No | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Zuckerberg / Bezos 8+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Revolution | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corruption | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 22%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26FEB13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP