# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-04-26 (settled) · 43 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26APR27 · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-april-26 · as_of 2026-10-24T04:04:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-26 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26APR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 27, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-april-26 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# rows 1-25 of 43 by p · more: offset=25 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	K	72	55	0.76	YYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.82	hist	0	0	yes	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	K	67	44	0.66	YnYYnnYnnn	1	0	0.78	hist	0	0	yes	1
Melania	melania	K	46	30	0.65	YYYYYYnYnY	1	0	0.76	hist	0	0	yes	1
50,000	50 000	K	9	8	0.89	YYYnYYYYY	1	0	0.75	hist	0	0	yes	1
Make America Great Again	make america great again	P	9	6	0.67	nnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.75	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	KP	102	58	0.57	nYYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.75	hist	0	0	yes	1
Autopen / Auto Pen	auto pen|autopen	K	38	26	0.68	nnYYYYYnYn	1	0	0.74	hist	0	0	yes	1
Newscum	newscum	K	52	32	0.62	nYYYYnYYnY	1	0	0.71	hist	0	0	yes	1
Landslide	landslide	K	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.7	hist	0	0	no	1
Thug	thug	K	29	20	0.69	YnnYYYYYYn	1	0	0.7	hist	0	0	yes	1
Predict / Prediction	predict|prediction	K	37	24	0.65	nnYYYYYYYn	1	0	0.68	hist	0	0	yes	1
Autism	autism	K	17	9	0.53	nYnYYYYnYn	1	0	0.68	hist	0	0	no	1
Genius	genius	P	11	8	0.73	YYnYnnYYYY	1	1	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome	tds|trump derangement syndrome	K	29	17	0.59	nnYYYYYYYn	1	0	0.64	hist	0	0	no	1
Allah	allah	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.64	hist	0	0	no	1
Rigged Election / Stolen Election	rigged election|stolen election	K	26	18	0.69	nYYYYYnnnY	1	1	0.63	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hottest	hottest	K	204	107	0.52	YnnYYYYYnn	1	1	0.63	hist	0	0	yes	1
Who are you with / Where are you from	where are you from|who are you with	K	17	10	0.59	nnYYYnYnYn	1	1	0.61	hist	0	0	yes	1
Windmill	windmill	K	34	19	0.56	YYnnnnYnYn	1	1	0.61	hist	0	0	no	1
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	K	64	40	0.62	nnYYYnYYYY	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	K	26	8	0.31	nYnnnYYnYY	1	0	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
DoorDash / McDonald's	doordash|mcdonald	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Trump Strait / Strait of Trump	strait of trump|trump strait	P	0	0			1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no	1
Shit	shit	P	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no	1
Pope	pope	K	8	2	0.25	nnYnnnYn	1	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no	1