Will Donald Trump say “NBA / Basketball”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NBA / Basketball” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
NBA / Basketball
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…212 people cuz we count. We had 29,000 and 30,000 including the basketball. It was Betto. Remember Betto? Beetho. Nobody figured out that name yet.…
…Six billion. Remember, they got a few people. Six. They had the basketball player. Remember, we got the basketball player that doesn't stand up for…
…history, the number one arms dealer ever in history, and get a basketball player back and give $6 billion on top of it. The deals…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | NBA / Basketball |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “NBA / Basketball”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NBA / Basketball” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “NBA / Basketball” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘NBA / Basketball’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/basketball-or-nba (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=basketball%20%2F%20nba · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP