Will Donald Trump say “Los Angeles / LA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Los Angeles / LA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 10, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jun 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Los Angeles / LA
- Probability
- 44% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to shining sea, from Detroit down to Houston and New York to LA, where there's pride in every American heart. And it's time we stand…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Los Angeles / LA |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | LA / Los Angeles |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2025 | LA / Los Angeles | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Los Angeles / LA”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Los Angeles / LA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 10, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jun 10, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Los Angeles / LA” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Los Angeles / LA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/la-or-los-angele (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=la%20%2F%20los%20angele · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP