Will Donald Trump say “Citizenship”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Citizenship” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Citizenship
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…great seniors. They voted against voter ID. They voted against proof of citizenship. They voted against securing our borders. Remember this. If they ever did…
…generally the one. But they voted against voter ID because they want to cheat. They voted against proof of citizenship because they want to cheat.
…ID. Why? Because they want to cheat. They voted against proof of citizenship. Oh, sir, may I please see your citizenship? Absolutely not. I demand…
…you say, do you have voter ID? Do you have proof of citizenship? If you ask those words, they put you in jail. I would…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2026 | Citizenship |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Citizenship | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Citizenship | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Citizenship”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Citizenship” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 8, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Citizenship” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Citizenship’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/citizenship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=citizenship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP