Will Donald Trump say “Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat
- Probability
- 42% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Polymarket | Yes | 8 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / Dumacrat | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 22, 2026 | Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / Dumacrat | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dumacrat-or-dumbocrat-or-dumocrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dumacrat%20%2F%20dumbocrat%20%2F%20dumocrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP