Will Donald Trump say “Poll” 2+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Poll” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Poll 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…uh and it doesn't seem to affect him too much in the polls. He was a terrible governor. He was terrible with the, you know,…
…But Karen was losing in the early round. It was 68-12. The polls showed her losing 68-12. She had no chance. It was a special…
…period of time. That's what they say. You're going to see a poll later on. They rate the presidents in terms of their greatness. I'm…
…the way. You're both doing great. But we still have to get out and vote. But you both I looked at some polls. Very impressive.
…good numbers for me, too. I get good numbers. I get good polls. But I'm not running, but I am running, right? You remember? But…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Poll 2+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Poll 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Poll” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Poll 2+ times” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Poll 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/poll-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=poll%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP