Mark Carney
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 306 word markets on Mark Carney’s appearances since 2026, on 76 different words; most reliably said: “AI / Artificial Intelligence” (13 of 19). Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 (16 words listed).
Next: Keynote ·
16 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi| Word | Jun 11remarks | Jun 12conference | Jun 13interview | Jul 1remarks | Jul 8conference | Jul 16remarks | Jul 29remarks | Sep 17speech | Sep 20conference | Sep 24latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense / Defenceevery time | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Jun 11 remarks | Settled yes: Defense / Defence, Jun 12 conference | Settled yes: Defense / Defence, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Defense / Defence, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Defense / Defence, Sep 24 speech | 3/3100% | 7/7100% | 64%n=7 from settlement history | 75¢ Kalshi |
| Arctic | Not listed: Arctic, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Arctic, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Arctic, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Arctic, Jul 1 remarks | Settled yes: Arctic, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Arctic, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Arctic, Jul 29 remarks | Settled yes: Arctic, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Arctic, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Arctic, Sep 24 speech | 3/475% | 8/989% | 63%n=9 from settlement history | 70¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 11 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 12 conference | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 1 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 16 remarks | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 29 remarks | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 24 speech | 6/967% | 13/1968% | 58%n=19 from settlement history | 71¢ Kalshi |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 12 conference | Settled yes: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Jul 29 remarks | Settled yes: Rare Earth / Mineral, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Rare Earth / Mineral, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Sep 24 speech | 3/650% | 7/1354% | 50%n=13 from settlement history | 50¢ Kalshi |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 29 remarks | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 24 speech | 2/540% | 11/1958% | 49%n=19 from settlement history | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | Settled yes: Tariff, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Tariff, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Tariff, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Tariff, Jul 8 conference | Settled yes: Tariff, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: Tariff, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Tariff, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Tariff, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Tariff, Sep 24 speech | 4/850% | 9/2241% | 49%n=22 from settlement history | 68¢ Kalshi |
| NATO | Not listed: NATO, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: NATO, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: NATO, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: NATO, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: NATO, Jul 8 conference | Settled yes: NATO, Jul 16 remarks | Settled no: NATO, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: NATO, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: NATO, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: NATO, Sep 24 speech | 2/540% | 10/1662% | 46%n=16 from settlement history | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Sep 24 speech | 1/250% | 1/250% | 45%n=2 from settlement history | 73¢ Kalshi |
| 51st Statenew | Not listed: 51st State, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: 51st State, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: 51st State, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: 51st State, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: 51st State, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: 51st State, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: 51st State, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: 51st State, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: 51st State, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: 51st State, Sep 24 speech | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 18¢ Kalshi |
| Pipelinenew | Not listed: Pipeline, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Pipeline, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Pipeline, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Pipeline, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Pipeline, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Pipeline, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Pipeline, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Pipeline, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Pipeline, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Pipeline, Sep 24 speech | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Trumpnew 3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 24 speech | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 20¢ Kalshi |
| USMCA / CUSMAnew | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: USMCA / CUSMA, Sep 24 speech | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 36¢ Kalshi |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 8 conference | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 17 speech | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 24 speech | 3/933% | 7/1937% | 42%n=19 from settlement history | 70¢ Kalshi |
| China / Chinese | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 12 conference | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: China / Chinese, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: China / Chinese, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 24 speech | 3/933% | 5/1436% | 36%n=14 from settlement history | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Lumber | Not listed: Lumber, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Lumber, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Lumber, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Lumber, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Lumber, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Lumber, Jul 16 remarks | Settled no: Lumber, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Lumber, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Lumber, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Lumber, Sep 24 speech | 0/10% | 0/30% | 36%n=3 from settlement history | 25¢ Kalshi |
| Nuclearnever said | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Nuclear, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: Nuclear, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Nuclear, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Nuclear, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Nuclear, Sep 24 speech | 0/40% | 0/40% | 29%n=4 from settlement history | 11¢ Kalshi |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 64, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Jun 11remarks | Jun 12conference | Jun 13interview | Jul 1remarks | Jul 8conference | Jul 16remarks | Jul 29remarks | Sep 17speech | Sep 20conference | Sep 24latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Jun 11 remarks | Settled yes: Trump, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Trump, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Trump, Jul 1 remarks | Settled yes: Trump, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: Trump, Jul 16 remarks | Settled no: Trump, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Trump, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Trump, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Trump, Sep 24 speech | 3/933% | 5/2520% | 35%n=25 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 24 speech | 1/714% | 1/147% | 22%n=14 from settlement history |
| China | Not listed: China, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: China, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: China, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: China, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: China, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: China, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: China, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: China, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: China, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: China, Sep 24 speech | – | 4/944% | 44%n=9 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/812% | 29%n=8 from settlement history |
| Taxevery time | Settled yes: Tax, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Tax, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Tax, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Tax, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: Tax, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Tax, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Tax, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Tax, Sep 24 speech | 2/2100% | 7/7100% | 68%n=7 from settlement history |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | Settled no: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 16 remarks | Settled no: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Sep 24 speech | 0/40% | 2/729% | 24%n=7 from settlement history |
| Climate | Settled no: Climate, Jun 11 remarks | Settled no: Climate, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Climate, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Climate, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Climate, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Climate, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Climate, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Climate, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Climate, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Climate, Sep 24 speech | 0/20% | 1/714% | 32%n=7 from settlement history |
| Irannever said | Not listed: Iran, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Iran, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Iran, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Iran, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Iran, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Iran, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Iran, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Iran, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/60% | 26%n=6 from settlement history |
| Housing | Not listed: Housing, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Jun 12 conference | Settled no: Housing, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Housing, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Housing, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Housing, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Housing, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Housing, Sep 24 speech | 0/10% | 2/540% | 49%n=5 from settlement history |
| Oil | Not listed: Oil, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Oil, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Oil, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Oil, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Oil, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Oil, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Oil, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Oil, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Oil, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Oil, Sep 24 speech | – | 2/450% | 41%n=4 from settlement history |
| Economy / Economic | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jun 13 interview | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 3/3100% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| Russia / Russian | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 1 remarks | Settled yes: Russia / Russian, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 29 remarks | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Sep 24 speech | 1/333% | 1/333% | 37%n=3 from settlement history |
| Hormuz | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 1 remarks | Settled no: Hormuz, Jul 8 conference | Settled no: Hormuz, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Hormuz, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 24 speech | 0/30% | 0/30% | 26%n=3 from settlement history |
| G7 | Not listed: G7, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: G7, Jun 12 conference | Settled yes: G7, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: G7, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: G7, Jul 8 conference | Settled yes: G7, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: G7, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: G7, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: G7, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: G7, Sep 24 speech | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 52%n=2 from settlement history |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jun 13 interview | Settled yes: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Invest / Invested / Investment, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 2/2100% | 49%n=2 from settlement history |
| Diversity | Not listed: Diversity, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Diversity, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Diversity, Jun 13 interview | Settled no: Diversity, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Diversity, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Diversity, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Diversity, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Diversity, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Diversity, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Diversity, Sep 24 speech | 0/10% | 1/250% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| Drone | Not listed: Drone, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Drone, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Drone, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Drone, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Drone, Jul 8 conference | Settled yes: Drone, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Drone, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Drone, Sep 17 speech | Settled no: Drone, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Drone, Sep 24 speech | 1/250% | 1/250% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| Mortgage | Not listed: Mortgage, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Mortgage, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Mortgage, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Mortgage, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Mortgage, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Mortgage, Jul 16 remarks | Settled yes: Mortgage, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Mortgage, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Mortgage, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Mortgage, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 1/250% | 44%n=2 from settlement history |
| Japan | Not listed: Japan, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Japan, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Japan, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Japan, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Japan, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Japan, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Japan, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Japan, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Japan, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Japan, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/20% | 30%n=2 from settlement history |
| Zoning / Permit / Permitting | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Zoning / Permit / Permitting, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Calgary | Not listed: Calgary, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Calgary, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Calgary, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Calgary, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Calgary, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Calgary, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Calgary, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Calgary, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Calgary, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Calgary, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crime / Criminal | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Defense | Not listed: Defense, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Defense, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Defense, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Defense, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Defense, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Defense, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Defense, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Defense, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Defense, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Defense, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Military / Defense | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Military / Defense, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Military / Defense, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Military / Defense, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Military / Defense, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Energy | Not listed: Energy, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Energy, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Energy, Jun 13 interview | Settled yes: Energy, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Energy, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Energy, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Energy, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Energy, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Energy, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Energy, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Farm / Farmer | Settled yes: Farm / Farmer, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Farm / Farmer, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hockey | Not listed: Hockey, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Hockey, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Hockey, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Hockey, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Hockey, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Hockey, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Hockey, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Hockey, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Hockey, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Hockey, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Innovate / Innovation | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Innovate / Innovation, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Manufacturing | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Manufacturing, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Manufacturing, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Manufacturing, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Manufacturing, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Milan / Milano | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Milan / Milano, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Military | Not listed: Military, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Military, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Military, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Military, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Military, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Military, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Military, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Military, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Military, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Military, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Moon | Not listed: Moon, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Moon, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Moon, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Moon, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Moon, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Moon, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Moon, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Moon, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Moon, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Moon, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rocket | Not listed: Rocket, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Rocket, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Rocket, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Rocket, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Rocket, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Rocket, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Rocket, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Rocket, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Rocket, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Rocket, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Sep 24 speech | – | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ukraine | Not listed: Ukraine, Jun 11 remarks | Settled yes: Ukraine, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Ukraine, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Ukraine, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Ukraine, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Ukraine, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Ukraine, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Ukraine, Sep 24 speech | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 2028 / Los Angeles | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: 2028 / Los Angeles, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 2030 / Alps | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: 2030 / Alps, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| UFO / Alien | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: UFO / Alien, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Apollo | Not listed: Apollo, Jun 11 remarks | Not listed: Apollo, Jun 12 conference | Not listed: Apollo, Jun 13 interview | Not listed: Apollo, Jul 1 remarks | Not listed: Apollo, Jul 8 conference | Not listed: Apollo, Jul 16 remarks | Not listed: Apollo, Jul 29 remarks | Not listed: Apollo, Sep 17 speech | Not listed: Apollo, Sep 20 conference | Not listed: Apollo, Sep 24 speech | – | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? | no transcript | 19 | 1 yes · 18 no | – |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? | no transcript | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | – |
| Sep 17, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? | no transcript | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? | no transcript | 12 | 6 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jul 16, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? | no transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? | no transcript | 13 | 3 yes · 10 no | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? | no transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Mark Carney say during his press conference? | no transcript | 13 | 4 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jun 11, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? | no transcript | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his infrastructure announcement? | no transcript | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | – |
| Jun 1, 2026 | RemarksWhat will Mark Carney say during his remarks to combat antisemitism? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Mark Carney: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/mark-carney · words: /api/v1/history?entity=mark-carney · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP