Mark Carney: Remarks, Jun 1, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his remarks to combat antisemitism?
Markets
11 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical / Radicalized / Radicalization | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 13%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine / Gaza | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 14%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 13%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26JUN01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP