Will Mark Carney say “Immigrant / Immigration”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (12%), most recently on Jun 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

29%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Immigrant / Immigration

Probability
29% · n=8
Settled
1/8 (12%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 2, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiYes
May 19, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Apr 11, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Apr 9, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “Immigrant / Immigration”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (12%), most recently on Jun 1, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP