Will Mark Carney say “Iran”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Carney did not say “Iran” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
26%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Carney
Iran
- Probability
- 26% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mark Carney say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Carney did not say “Iran” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Carney says “Iran” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP