Will Mark Carney say “Tax”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Tax” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
68%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Carney
Tax
- Probability
- 68% · n=7
- Settled
- 7/7 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Mark Carney say “Tax”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Tax” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Carney says “Tax” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/tax (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=tax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP