Will Mark Carney say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (29%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=manufacture%20%2F%20manufacturing

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Manufacture / Manufacturing

Probability
24% · n=7
Settled
2/7 (29%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 24, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jul 29, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiNo
May 29, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiYes
May 27, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiNo
May 20, 2026Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “Manufacture / Manufacturing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Manufacture / Manufacturing” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (29%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Manufacture / Manufacturing” next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Manufacture / Manufacturing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/manufacture-or-manufacturing (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=manufacture%20%2F%20manufacturing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP