Will Mark Carney say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Carney said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 7 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (37%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.

42%from settlement history only · n=19Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability
42% · n=19
Settled
7/19 (37%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 20 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 24, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Sep 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Sep 17, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jul 16, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Jul 8, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
May 29, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
May 27, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
May 20, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
May 19, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Apr 23, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Apr 13, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo
Mar 31, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiYes
Mar 30, 2026Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “Oil / Gas / Gasoline”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Carney said “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” at 7 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (37%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” next time?
42%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP