Will Mark Carney say “51st State”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Mark Carney saying “51st State” has settled yet.
43%base rate for a new wordNext: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Carney
51st State
- Probability
- 43% · prior
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘51st State’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/51st-state (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=51st%20state · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP