Will Mark Carney say “Ukraine / Ukrainian”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Ukraine / Ukrainian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 73¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Carney
Ukraine / Ukrainian
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian |  Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Mark Carney say “Ukraine / Ukrainian”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “Ukraine / Ukrainian” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Carney says “Ukraine / Ukrainian” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Ukraine / Ukrainian’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/ukraine-or-ukrainian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=ukraine%20%2F%20ukrainian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP