Will Mark Carney say “China / Chinese”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “China / Chinese” at 5 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history only · n=14Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=china%20%2F%20chinese

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

China / Chinese

Probability
36% · n=14
Settled
5/14 (36%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 24, 2026China / ChineseKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Sep 20, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Sep 17, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 16, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jul 8, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jun 12, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
May 29, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
May 27, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
May 20, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
May 19, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “China / Chinese”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Carney said “China / Chinese” at 5 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (36%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “China / Chinese” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP