Will Mark Carney say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Carney said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 13, 2026 (7%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

23%from settlement history only · n=14counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Iran / Iranian

Probability
23% · n=14
Settled
1/14 (7%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his homebuilding announcement? · settled yes

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What will Mark Carney say during his defense announcement? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his NATO press conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the national Canada Day ceremony? · not listed

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What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Sep 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Sep 17, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Jul 16, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 13, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 11, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 29, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 27, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
May 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Mark Carney said “Iran / Iranian” at 1 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 13, 2026 (7%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
23%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP