Mark Carney: Remarks, Jun 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his food announcement?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tax | Yes | 77%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 50%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 41%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 38%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Farm / Farmer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 10%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Beef | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 28%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 10%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26JUN11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP