Will Mark Carney say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Mark Carney said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

49%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Carney

Invest / Invested / Investment

Probability
49% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Mark Carney yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 1, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes
Feb 18, 2026Invest / Invested / InvestmentKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Mark Carney say “Invest / Invested / Investment”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Mark Carney said “Invest / Invested / Investment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 1, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Carney says “Invest / Invested / Investment” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Carney: ‘Invest / Invested / Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-carney/words/invest-or-invested-or-investment (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-carney&word=invest%20%2F%20invested%20%2F%20investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-carney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP