Mark Carney: Remarks, Jun 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his infrastructure announcement?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tax | Yes | 74%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 29%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 71%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 61%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 47%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mortgage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polluter / Pollution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 32%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | 30%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 11%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 11%n=15 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26JUN02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP