Mark Carney: Interview, Jun 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his remarks in Ireland?
Markets
11 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defense / Defence | Yes | 81%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 77%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Yes | 65%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| G7 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Arctic | No | 78%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Housing | No | 62%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 54%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 45%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 40%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 17%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26JUN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP