Mark Carney: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026

Wed, Nov 18KeynoteHistory onlyMark Carney

Updated

Markets

16 words listed
Listed words: result, and the probability published before the event
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Defense / Defence open64%n=7 from settlement history75¢ Kalshi
Arctic open63%n=9 from settlement history70¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence open58%n=19 from settlement history71¢ Kalshi
Rare Earth / Mineral open50%n=13 from settlement history50¢ Kalshi
Afford / Affordable / Affordability open49%n=19 from settlement history58¢ Kalshi
Tariff open49%n=22 from settlement history68¢ Kalshi
NATO open46%n=16 from settlement history80¢ Kalshi
Ukraine / Ukrainian open45%n=2 from settlement history73¢ Kalshi
51st State open–new new word, no probability yet18¢ Kalshi
Pipeline open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
Trump 3+ timesopen–new new word, no probability yet20¢ Kalshi
USMCA / CUSMA open–new new word, no probability yet36¢ Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline open42%n=19 from settlement history70¢ Kalshi
China / Chinese open36%n=14 from settlement history46¢ Kalshi
Lumber open36%n=3 from settlement history25¢ Kalshi
Nuclear open29%n=4 from settlement history11¢ Kalshi

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. Scheduled for Wed, Nov 18. Results will show how the venues settle the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26NOV18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP