Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Mar 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Mamdani say during his Ramadan celebration?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Islam / Islamic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 47%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 41%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 34%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | Yes | 15%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | No | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 56%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Allah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antisemitism / Antisemitic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISIS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mahmoud / Khalil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Islamophobia | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 22%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-ZOHR26MAR12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP