Will Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfer / Golfing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfer / Golfing” at 18 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (78%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Golf / Golfer / Golfing
- Probability
- 85% · n=23
- Settled
- 18/23 (78%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had it. I've had it. I can't do it anymore. What you've done here, I cannot do oceans, sir. I could do a golf barely.
…Barack Hussein Obama would fly to Hawaii to play a round of golf in a 747 spewing old one 35 years. We have a new…
President Trump, you own a lot of golf courses.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 23 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing |  Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (8 of 11 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Golf / Golfing / Golfer |  Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 22, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 1, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 1, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Golf / Golfer / Golfing | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfer / Golfing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfer / Golfing” at 18 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (78%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Golf / Golfer / Golfing” next time?
- 85%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Golf / Golfer / Golfing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/golf-or-golfer-or-golfing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golf%20%2F%20golfer%20%2F%20golfing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP