Will Donald Trump say “Socialist / Socialism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Socialist / Socialism” at 13 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 22, 2025 (87%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 88% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Socialist / Socialism
- Probability
- 88% · n=15
- Settled
- 13/15 (87%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…better not. But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official platform calls for abolishing the US…
…coming from France at the moment. How concerned are you that the socialist agenda will bring some of those same financial difficulties to the United…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…radical groups such as the Communist Party, USA, Antifa, and the Democrat Socialists of America. Communism will never be coming to America, but freedom will…
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (5 of 9 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 15 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Socialist / Socialism |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Socialist / Socialism | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Socialist / Socialism”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Socialist / Socialism” at 13 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 22, 2025 (87%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Socialist / Socialism” next time?
- 88%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP