NYT DealBook Summit, Nov 18, 2026

Wed, Nov 18PanelHistory onlyScheduledNYT DealBook Summit

Kalshi lists 86 words for the NYT DealBook Summit on Nov 18, 2026. Each word shows its history and Parrot’s p, a base rate from settlement history, not a forecast.

Updated

Markets

86 words listed
Listed words: result, and the probability published before the event
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Tesla open75%n=22 from settlement history70¢ Kalshi
Option open75%n=2 from settlement history34¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence open–n=1 too little history for a probability70¢ Kalshi
Hollywood open–n=1 too little history for a probability30¢ Kalshi
Netflix open–n=1 too little history for a probability30¢ Kalshi
Warner Bros / Warner Brothers open–n=1 too little history for a probability66¢ Kalshi
Sport open63%n=2 from settlement history57¢ Kalshi
Bank / Banking open–n=1 too little history for a probability40¢ Kalshi
Optimus open54%n=2 from settlement history40¢ Kalshi
Perp / Perpetual open53%n=2 from settlement history48¢ Kalshi
Social open53%n=2 from settlement history50¢ Kalshi
Antitrust open–new new word, no probability yet20¢ Kalshi
Bari / Weiss open–new new word, no probability yet26¢ Kalshi
CBS open–new new word, no probability yet56¢ Kalshi
CNN open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
Debt open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
Harry Potter open–new new word, no probability yet18¢ Kalshi
HBO open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
Larry Ellison open–new new word, no probability yet10¢ Kalshi
Layoff / Lay Off open–new new word, no probability yet20¢ Kalshi
Stream / Streaming open–new new word, no probability yet62¢ Kalshi
Synergy open–new new word, no probability yet28¢ Kalshi
Theater / Theatrical open–new new word, no probability yet20¢ Kalshi
Satellite open–n=1 too little history for a probability47¢ Kalshi
Starbase open–n=1 too little history for a probability30¢ Kalshi
Open Source open–n=1 too little history for a probability40¢ Kalshi
Safe / Safer / Safety open–n=1 too little history for a probability81¢ Kalshi
Valuation / IPO open–n=1 too little history for a probability38¢ Kalshi
Grok open43%n=3 from settlement history75¢ Kalshi
Robotaxi / Cybercab open–n=1 too little history for a probability50¢ Kalshi
Copilot open–new new word, no probability yet79¢ Kalshi
Agent / Agentic open–new new word, no probability yet82¢ Kalshi
Arsenal open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
Autonomous / Autonomy open–new new word, no probability yet66¢ Kalshi
Azure open–new new word, no probability yet34¢ Kalshi
Cloud open–new new word, no probability yet59¢ Kalshi
Containment open–new new word, no probability yet26¢ Kalshi
Cowork open–new new word, no probability yet35¢ Kalshi
Drone open–new new word, no probability yet75¢ Kalshi
GitHub open–new new word, no probability yet38¢ Kalshi
IPO open–new new word, no probability yet21¢ Kalshi
Iran / Iranian open–new new word, no probability yet36¢ Kalshi
Lattice open–new new word, no probability yet26¢ Kalshi
Manufacture / Manufacturing open–new new word, no probability yet66¢ Kalshi
Meta open–new new word, no probability yet22¢ Kalshi
Oculus open–new new word, no probability yet56¢ Kalshi
OpenAI open–new new word, no probability yet52¢ Kalshi
Pentagon open–new new word, no probability yet30¢ Kalshi
ROI / Return On Investment open–new new word, no probability yet22¢ Kalshi
Security open–new new word, no probability yet58¢ Kalshi
Submarine open–new new word, no probability yet50¢ Kalshi
Taiwan open–new new word, no probability yet32¢ Kalshi
Token open–new new word, no probability yet48¢ Kalshi
Trump 3+ timesopen–new new word, no probability yet42¢ Kalshi
Ukraine / Ukrainian open–new new word, no probability yet42¢ Kalshi
AGI open38%n=3 from settlement history56¢ Kalshi
Retire / Retirement open–n=1 too little history for a probability44¢ Kalshi
Meridian open–new new word, no probability yet22¢ Kalshi
Starship open–new new word, no probability yet50¢ Kalshi
Starlink open34%n=4 from settlement history68¢ Kalshi
Google / Gemini open27%n=3 from settlement history22¢ Kalshi
Colossus open–n=1 too little history for a probability18¢ Kalshi
Hugging Face open–new new word, no probability yet32¢ Kalshi
Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory open26%n=3 from settlement history62¢ Kalshi
Trump open–n=1 too little history for a probability30¢ Kalshi
China / Chinese open–n=1 too little history for a probability46¢ Kalshi
Compute open24%n=3 from settlement history62¢ Kalshi
IP / Intellectual Property open24%n=3 from settlement history28¢ Kalshi
Mars open24%n=3 from settlement history30¢ Kalshi
Prediction Market open23%n=2 from settlement history66¢ Kalshi
OpenAI / Altman open22%n=11 from settlement history35¢ Kalshi
Astra open–n=1 too little history for a probability67¢ Kalshi
Elon / Grok open–n=1 too little history for a probability32¢ Kalshi
Data Center open–n=1 too little history for a probability36¢ Kalshi
DOGE / Department Of Government Efficiency open–n=1 too little history for a probability35¢ Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude open18%n=2 from settlement history22¢ Kalshi
Nvidia open17%n=3 from settlement history32¢ Kalshi
Nuclear open17%n=3 from settlement history20¢ Kalshi
Privacy open14%n=3 from settlement history42¢ Kalshi
Active Trader / Active Trading open–n=1 too little history for a probability40¢ Kalshi
Crypto / Cryptocurrency open–n=1 too little history for a probability62¢ Kalshi
Gold 3+ timesopen–n=1 too little history for a probability11¢ Kalshi
Credit Card open8%n=2 from settlement history34¢ Kalshi
Kalshi open8%n=4 from settlement history12¢ Kalshi
Tokenized / Tokenization open6%n=3 from settlement history69¢ Kalshi
Bitcoin open6%n=4 from settlement history20¢ Kalshi

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

Transcript pending. Scheduled for Wed, Nov 18. Expected around Nov 19, 2026 from New York Times Events official YouTube stream of the whole day (auto captions); speaker turns labelled automatically. Transcripts from this source are added when our worker runs, so there is no set time.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-dealbook-summit:2026-11-18:panel · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-dealbook-summit:2026-11-18:panel · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP