Will Vlad Tenev say “Credit Card”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Credit Card” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 8% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 34¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Credit Card
- Probability
- 8% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 keynotes, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
It's one of the few credit cards that seamlessly lets you add your spouse and your children, even your parents or caregivers, and a lot…
…equities, all using uniform KYC, great funding rails that make it easy to move money in and out. We've got a great credit card, and
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Credit Card |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Credit card | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Credit Card”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Credit Card” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2025.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Credit Card” next time?
- 8%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Credit Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/credit-card (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=credit%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP