David Ellison
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 8 word markets on David Ellison’s appearances since 2026, on 8 different words. Next: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 (17 words listed).
Next: Keynote ·
17 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi| Word | Mar 27latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 70¢ Kalshi |
| Hollywood | 3 times: Hollywood, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Netflix | 2 times: Netflix, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Warner Bros / Warner Brothers | 2 times: Warner Bros / Warner Brothers, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Antitrustnew | Not listed: Antitrust, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 20¢ Kalshi |
| Bari / Weissnew | Not listed: Bari / Weiss, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 26¢ Kalshi |
| CBSnew | Not listed: CBS, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 56¢ Kalshi |
| CNNnew | Not listed: CNN, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Debtnew | Not listed: Debt, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Harry Potternew | Not listed: Harry Potter, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 18¢ Kalshi |
| HBOnew | Not listed: HBO, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Larry Ellisonnew | Not listed: Larry Ellison, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 10¢ Kalshi |
| Layoff / Lay Offnew | Not listed: Layoff / Lay Off, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 20¢ Kalshi |
| Stream / Streamingnew | Not listed: Stream / Streaming, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 62¢ Kalshi |
| Synergynew | Not listed: Synergy, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 28¢ Kalshi |
| Theater / Theatricalnew | Not listed: Theater / Theatrical, Mar 27 keynote | – | – | –new new word, no probability yet | 20¢ Kalshi |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Mar 27 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability | 30¢ Kalshi |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Every word
1–3 of 3, most settled first| Word | Mar 27latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon / Disney | 1 time: Amazon / Disney, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Content | 7 times: Content, Mar 27 keynote, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Saudi | 0 times: Saudi, Mar 27 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Our transcript counts matched how 8 of 8 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will David Ellison say during the FII Priority Summit? | Captions · machine-attributed | 9 | 6 yes · 3 no | 8/8 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “David Ellison: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/david-ellison (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/david-ellison · words: /api/v1/history?entity=david-ellison · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP