Will Vlad Tenev say “Active Trader / Active Trading”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Active Trader / Active Trading” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Active Trader / Active Trading
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Active Trader / Active Trading |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Active Trader / Active Trading”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Active Trader / Active Trading” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Active Trader / Active Trading” next time?
- 10%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Active Trader / Active Trading’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/active-trader-or-active-trading (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=active%20trader%20%2F%20active%20trading · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP