Will Elon Musk say “Satellite”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk said “Satellite” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elon Musk
Satellite
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…us, it would be me. Um and uh we we have 9,000 satellites up there, and not once have we had to maneuver around an…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Satellite |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Elon Musk say “Satellite”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk said “Satellite” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Elon Musk says “Satellite” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Satellite’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/satellite (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=satellite · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP