Will Elon Musk say “Starship”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Elon Musk saying “Starship” has settled yet.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

34%base rate for a new wordNext: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
50¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Elon Musk

Starship

Probability
34% · prior
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Elon MuskspeakerWorld Economic Forum · Jan 23, 2026 · 26:58In transcript

…equivalent to a small to medium-size jet. So, um but with with Starship, which is a a giant rocket, it's the it's largest flying machine…

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will Elon post this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Starship’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/starship (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=starship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP