What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Bank / Banking” next time?

60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Vlad Tenev say “Bank / Banking”?

Name: Vlad Tenev: “Bank / Banking” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Bank / Banking” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.

Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only
Market: 40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 04:13 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Vlad Tenev

Bank / Banking

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 4 transcripts: said in 2 of 4

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 keynotes, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Vlad TenevguestTBPN Podcast, November 6, 2025: OpenAI's "Backstop," The Benefits of Bubbles, Elon's New Comp Package | Bret Taylor, Dave Baszucki, Vlad Tenev, Uri Marchand, Alex Israel, P · Nov 6, 2025 · 2:22:09In transcript

banking's rolling out. And because we have all these other products and sources of revenue, we can be super competitive on our banking offering too.…

What will Vlad Tenev say during his HOOD Summit '26 Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Vlad Tenev say during Robinhood's Keynote Event? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Every match in the transcript

What will Vlad Tenev say on the TBPN Podcast · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Vlad Tenev say during the Robinhood keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Vlad Tenev say during the TBPN Podcast? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Vlad Tenev say during the HOOD Summit '25 Keynote? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Mar 5, 2026	Bank / Banking	Kalshi	Yes	1

Questions

How often does Vlad Tenev say “Bank / Banking”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Bank / Banking” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Bank / Banking” next time?: 60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Bank / Banking’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/bank-or-banking (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=bank%20%2F%20banking · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP