Will Vlad Tenev say “Gold” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Gold” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 11¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Gold (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 keynotes, 1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…journey that we call life. It's something I've been thinking a lot about since the launch of our first family product, the Robinhood Gold Card.
…And we were planning on offering futures out rights, like oil and gold and all the standard futures contracts, and we thought, well, prediction markets…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gold (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Gold (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev did not say “Gold” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Gold (3+ times)” next time?
- 10%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Gold (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/gold-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=gold%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP